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Alleviated Risk LLC
Other industries hit this wall

Other industries hit this wall first

Published

Nobody in agriculture should feel bad about where the industry's information stands. Oil and gas got there first. So did the utilities. So did crop inputs. Every one of them walked into the same wall, and every one of them made the same first mistake: they assumed the wall was the technology.

It never was.

Three industries, one wall

In oil and gas, the wall showed up as paper. A multi-billion-dollar capital project turns over on its engineering documents, and one engineering-cost program in the record behind this practice carried 100,000+ of them: drawings, change orders, contractor cost reports, each contractor keeping its own books its own way. The computers were fine. The problem was that no two systems described the project the same way, so the true cost to date lived in nobody's system and everybody's argument.

Utilities hit the wall as billing. Delivering bills to 65,000+ customers with Accenture/Enmax meant marrying meter data, rate structures, and customer records that were never born under one roof. The hard part was not printing a bill. The hard part was getting three systems to agree on what one household actually used.

The rebate version

Crop inputs hit the wall as rebates. The turnaround of Bayer Crop Science Canada's grower-rebate platform, from 2021 to 2024, is part of the same record. A rebate program is a simple promise: buy the product, earn the money. But the records behind that promise sat in retailer systems, distributor systems, and program rules that grew up separately, and when the systems disagree, the grower waits for money that is already his.

The turnaround was not a new invention. It was integration discipline: one version of the truth about who bought what, verified until the numbers reconciled. Rebate payments went from roughly $280M CAD for the 2022 crop year to roughly $360M CAD for 2023, with 90% of payments out the door before year end. Growers got paid on time because the systems finally agreed, not because the software got clever.

What this means in late July

Agricultural operations are standing where those three industries stood: a mountain of spreadsheets beside an ERP, one platform for agronomy, another for irrigation, and the true answer living in whoever's head holds the newest file. The good news about reaching the wall last is that the expensive mistakes have already been paid for by somebody else. And the lesson from all three industries is the same one. New software bolted onto systems that disagree just gives you one more place to look. Get the systems to agree first, and then the tools earn their keep.

The timing matters more than it looks. It is late July. In-season work is winding down toward post-harvest, and planning season opens in a few months. Every proposal written this winter will be built against last year's applied and billed numbers. If proposed, applied, and billed don't line up now, the new plans inherit the disagreement, and next year's year-end becomes this year's all over again.

The cheap move is to get the numbers trued up before the first proposal gets written. If a second set of eyes on where your systems stand would help, that conversation is worth having now rather than in January, when everybody wants the same three weeks.

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